Philadelphia, PA: Contrary to some recent press
articles, the coal industry in general, and the anthracite coal industry in
particular, are not yet dead.
Story: http://goo.gl/dGqQFp
A global economic
slowdown coupled with changes in the power generation matrix in the United
States are the major contributing factors in reduced coal production. While the
effect of global economies on the coal industry are cyclical and recoverable,
the changes in the power production matrix are transformative and will require
a recalibration of our industry.
Coal will survive,
albeit at reduced production rates. Some are predicting a return to 1980's
production levels which is still substantial and economically important to the
nation. Presently, mining and processing capacities far exceed the immediate
delivery markets and this is unlikely to change for the next 24 months. How
will we rightsize to meet this challenge?
Rightsizing of the
industry will probably follow the arc of the 1982-1983 downturn which idled
many of the higher cost mines and advanced the closing of older mines which
were too inefficient to keep in production. Some coal qualities will fall from
favor while proven qualities such as Pittsburgh No. 8 and low volatile coals
will maintain their niches in the market mix.
We will rightsize.
We will re-calibrate. And, we will survive. As we always do.
So, let's stop
chipping away at that epitaph for now.
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